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Iran Steel Market Trend in Week 02nd 2015

Billet

Billet market was quiet during last week in Iran. Long products sad market has affected billet production and billet producers are working at lowest capacity. Besides, year end in near in Iran ( end at 20 March 2015), so lack of liquidity and financing problems will increase the pressure on steel mills.

Billet size 150 mm was offered at Rials15.6million /mt on truck in Anzali including 8% VAT in import market. Domestic billet size 150 mm was Rials15-15.1 million/mt and size 120 mm around Rials14.7-14.8 million/mt ex-work including 8% VAT.

Khouzestan Steel Co currently has reduced billet base price, market participants expect Esfahan Steel Co follow it. As long products demand level is down, billet price will continue declining till current Iranian year end.

Last Tuesday, market leader Khouzestan Steel Co offered around 100,000 mt billet at IME ( Iran Mercantile Exchange), but sold just 11,000 mt of it. Some market participants do not expect more than Rials500,000/mt reduction for billet price till year end. But this wide difference between supply and demand level says that billet price will be more downward in coming week

 

Long products

Long products were downward during last week in Iran. PriceS declined by Rials200,000/mt and is expected to continue downward trend in coming weeks as demand level is reducing. Besides, anticipation of lower billet price in near future increased market pressure. Inventory level is low, but market participants are pessimistic in future trend.

Everybody is in waiting policy, though steel mills are reducing offer levels too. Market participants mostly agreed that long products prices will drop another Rials200,000/mt in coming week.

 

Flat products

HRC 2 mm thickness was down by Rials400,000/mt to Rials18.5 million /mt on truck in Anzali including 8% VAT during last week. Market participants expect CIS suppliers come back from New Year Holidays in coming days and import offers will increase in Iran market. Though, downward trend in flat products prices would be inevitable. CIS origin HRC is around USD520/mt cfr Iranian Northern Ports. During previous weeks import orders declined due to religious Holidays in Iran and after that New Year Holidays in supplier countries. Besides, lower Ruble rate against USD has made CIS pipe and profile prices competitive against Iranian origins in Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. Seasonal demand is also down in winter. At the moment there is no positive sign for any improvement in flat products market.

 

 Market price for HRC 2.5 and 3 mm thickness was stable. Despite new government announcement that sizes 6-15 mm import is not possible with exchange room currency allocation any more, market sentiment did not change.

HRP market was quiet. Demand is low but supply also declined. When Oxin co starts offering again market will be in more pressure.

CRC market was also quiet. Supply level is more than demand, so new policy about stopping exchange room currency allocation for importing thickness more than 1 mm did not change market sentiment.

HDG market was also down by Rials100,000-300,000/mt. As CRC market is downward, HDG price will also continues declining.

 

Ex-rate:
In Exchange Room: Rials 27,293 /1USD       
In free market: Rials 34,950  /1USD 
Iran steel service center

Jan 11, 2015 11:49
Number of visit : 1,089

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