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Iran steel market trend in week 50th , 2014

Billet

Billet market was stable during last week in Iran as domestic producers were not offering and have declined production level. CIS origin billet could be purchased at USD410/mt cfr northern Iranian ports but due to rising ex-rate, importing billet has become risky. At this level final cost price for imported billet is around Rials 15.2 million/mt including VAT.

Billet price in global market has almost reached the bottom and is around 7-8 barrel of crude oil when under USD60/barrel. If oil price drop more billet price may decline more. Due to sanctions against Russia and depreciation of Ruble against USD , some market participants expect up to USD20/mt decrease in billet price.

Domestic Iranian producers have declined billet production to the minimum, so billet size 150 mm was not lower than Rials15.9 million/mt and size 120 mm not lower than Rials15.25million/mt including 8% VAT, but long products market is week and improvement in prices seems unlikely.

 

Long products

Long products market had a quiet week with declines experienced for all products. Low billet price and expectation of negative trend made prices downward. On Sunday prices dropped by Rials200,000/mt and by Tuesday around Rials 100,000/mt.

During last 8 months of current Iranian year, long products prices had been lower than same months last year, but production costs including energy costs, wages, transportation and bank interest rate all have been rising. During last Iranian month average price of I-beam and debar were respectively 17% and 5% lower than the same month last year.

Domestic market is in high supply level so the solution is increasing export rate. Domestic demand level is dropping and many small mills are in risk of bankruptcy.

 

Flat products

HRC 2 mm thickness had a stable week at around Rials19.9million/mt on truck in Anzali including 8% VAT . Chinese and Korean products were around Rials19.9 and Rials19.7 million/mt at Imam khomeini port. Iran HRC market is depended on import market but fluctuations in ex-rate has make import more risky. Kazakhstan origin billet has been around USD520/mt and Ukraine origin around USD500/mt fob. Price of thickness 5.2-6 mm declined by Rials100,000/mt and sizes 6-15 mm had a stable week.

HRP market  was in lack of supply, but scarce demand made market quiet with no significant change.

CRC market was unstable. Domestic supply level is still limited but Kazakh origin CRC was being offered for all sizes. High import offers would decline prices, but higher ex-rate made prices stable.

Imported CRC is USD620-630/mt cfr Anzali port, but cost price for importers would be Rials2.1 million/mt or more

In HDG market common trend was yet stable prices with low supply and lack of demand.

Ex-rate:

In exchange room: Rials26,931 /1USD

In free market: Rials34,300 / 1USD

 

Iran Steel Service Center

Dec 15, 2014 07:45
Number of visit : 1,004

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